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Fed will cut interest rates deeply this spring, new estimate says on November 14, 2023 at 2:36 pm Business News | The Hill

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The Federal Reserve is likely to make significant cuts to interest rates next year beginning as early as March, according to a new estimate from UBS Investment Bank.

Slowing inflation could enable a 2.75 percent decrease in the interest rate over the course of the year, nearly halving the current rate of almost 5.5 percent, UBS said.

The firm predicts that the U.S. economy will fall into a recession by the second quarter of next year, enabling a rate cut. Rates will fall as low as 1.25 percent by 2025, the market experts predict.

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Other predictors, however, are anticipating just a 0.75 percent drop starting in the summer, a much more conservative forecast. Wall Street has been split on predicting the Fed’s movements.

UBS Chief Strategist Bhanu Baweja told Bloomberg that the firm sees all the signs of a standard rate-cutting cycle on the horizon.

“We don’t see the conditions for why this time is so different,” he said. “Inflation is normalizing quickly and by the time we get to March, the Fed will be looking at real rates which are very high.”

The Fed left the interest rate unchanged this month, the first time in about two years it has done so in two consecutive meetings. It is expected to leave rates the same again in December.

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Annual inflation fell to 3.7 percent in September from its 9 percent peak last June, even as consumer spending, economic growth and the job market remain strong.

The core consumer price index rose by just 0.2 percent month-to-month in October, the Fed announced Tuesday, beating economist expectations. The annual inflation rate was 3.2 percent in October.

Interest rates are higher than they’ve been at any point over the past two decades, ballooning borrowing costs for homebuyers and car owners, crunching balance-carrying credit card holders and making it harder for Americans to repay their debts.

​Business, News, economics, federal reserve, Interest rates, ubs investment bank The Federal Reserve is likely to make significant cuts to interest rates next year beginning as early as March, according to a new estimate from UBS Investment Bank. Slowing inflation could enable a 2.75 percent decrease in the interest rate over the course of the year, nearly halving the current rate of almost 5.5 percent,…  

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Exploring the Investment Appeal of JPMorgan (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC) on December 8, 2023 at 9:18 am Entrepreneur: Latest Articles

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Having weathered numerous challenges that tumultuously affected bank stocks earlier this year, is the coast clear to dive into this sector? Unfortunately, the answer is not so straightforward. With the…

​Stocks Having weathered numerous challenges that tumultuously affected bank stocks earlier this year, is the coast clear to dive into this sector? Unfortunately, the answer is not so straightforward. With the…  

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An Hermès Heir Wants to Give Half His $12 Billion Fortune to His Gardener—and Lawyers Are Going Nuts on December 8, 2023 at 3:58 am Entrepreneur: Latest Articles

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Nicolas Puech, the grandson of Hermès’ founder, intends to legally adopt the 51-year-old former groundskeeper as his son, ensuring he inherits his billions.

​Billionaires Nicolas Puech, the grandson of Hermès’ founder, intends to legally adopt the 51-year-old former groundskeeper as his son, ensuring he inherits his billions.  

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Two-thirds of Americans think they’ll be better off financially in 2024: survey on December 8, 2023 at 12:00 am Business News | The Hill

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Most Americans are optimistic about what the next year will bring for them financially, with two-thirds saying they believe they’ll be better off in 2024, according to a new survey from Fidelity Investments.

Younger generations were more likely to say they’ll be better off financially next year. Just over three-quarters of Generation Z respondents and 79 percent Millennials said as much, compared to 64 percent of Generation X and 52 percent of Baby Boomers.

However, over one-third of Americans in the survey said they are currently in a worse financial situation compared to the same time last year, with the majority attributing the decline to inflation and cost of living increases.

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Inflation was the top reason that Americans said they were not able to meet their financial goals this year, and it remains one of their top financial concerns for 2024, the Fidelity survey found.

Some 40 percent said that inflation’s impact on their day-to-day expenses and saving was their primary concern for next year, followed by unexpected expenses at 37 percent and economic uncertainty at 33 percent.

For those who suffered a financial setback in the past year, 45 percent said they had to dip into their emergency fund, according to the survey.

“With the number of Americans tapping into their emergency savings after a year of financial stressors and setbacks, it’s not surprising to see them look forward to new, brighter chapters in 2024,” Kelly Lannan, senior vice president of Emerging Customers at Fidelity Investments, said in a press release.

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“Encouragingly, it’s great to see so many taking a practical and confident outlook for the year ahead while they navigate choppy financial waters and fine-tune their financial wellness habits and savings goals,” she added. 

Since inflation reached a 40-year high of 9.1 percent last summer, it has eased significantly, falling to 3.2 percent as of October, according to Commerce Department data.

The economy has also remained surprisingly resilient in the face of the Federal Reserve’s repeated interest rate hikes, especially considering the widespread recession predictions that economists were making last year.

However, most Americans aren’t feeling particularly positive about the state of the economy, with a majority in a recent Bankrate survey saying they feel the country is currently experiencing a recession.

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​Business, cost of living, Economy, Fidelity Investments, inflation Most Americans are optimistic about what the next year will bring for them financially, with two-thirds saying they believe they’ll be better off in 2024, according to a new survey from Fidelity Investments. Younger generations were more likely to say they’ll be better off financially next year. Just over three-quarters of Generation Z respondents and 79 percent…  

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