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‘The year that defied all odds’: How Wall Street powered through recession fears on December 31, 2023 at 11:00 am Business News | The Hill

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The stock market closed to books on a winning year on Friday despite earlier recession fears.

“2023 may go down in history as the year that defied all odds,” Kelly Milligan, co-founder of Quorum Private Wealth, told The Hill.

“At the end of 2022, nearly every expert at the major banks predicted a recession and/or bear market in 2023. And yet, despite some volatility and selling over the summer, markets logged a largely positive year.”

The S&P 500 did not hit the record high on Friday that some anticipated, but the benchmark index capped off the year with a nine-week win streak and was up 24 percent for the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 13.7 percent for 2023, and the Nasdaq was up 43.6 percent.

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Wall Street saw particularly strong gains in December as the Federal Reserve signaled its intent to bring down interest rates next year, a potential boon for President Biden heading into a pivotal election year.

“While it’s common for stocks to rally in December (the so-called Santa Clause rally), we saw even more optimism this year thanks to signals that the Fed may cut rates as many as four times in 2024,” Milligan added.

All but three members of the Fed’s monetary policy committee forecasted at least two rate cuts next year. By Friday’s closing bell, markets had priced a 72.8 percent chance that the first cut of 25 basis points will come in March, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, which some economists have suggested may be overly optimistic.

But many economists were also expecting a recession this year that never materialized, just one of several mistaken forecasts during a year of economic uncertainty.

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There was no one driver of this year’s economic turnaround, Javier Palomarez, founder and CEO of the United States Hispanic Business Council (USHBC), told The Hill.

“The decline in inflation from 6.4% in January to 3.1% today was key in pausing interest rate hikes, with a forecast of three additional drops in 2024. Pandemic-induced supply pressures are gradually easing, job opportunities are booming, and fuel costs fell by 19% since September. Lastly, GDP growth has remained positive and stable for the past 5 quarters,” Palomarez said.

He also noted the surge in the “Magnificent Seven” stocks of Amazon, Apple, Google parent company Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, NVidia and Tesla that have driven the latest market rally, which Heather Wald, partner at Bel Air Investment Advisors, also pointed to.

“It is worth reiterating that this rally has not been broad in nature,” Wald said in a statement. “Much of this discrepancy is due to the excitement surrounding AI, which will remain a key investing theme for many years to come.”

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The technology industry was among the hardest hit by interest rate hikes, resulting in massive layoffs this year at major companies including Meta, Google and Spotify.

While many feared the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March would usher in the much-anticipated recession and sparked new fears of another 2008-style meltdown, the damage was ultimately contained.

“Coming off of the worst year for the stock market since 2008, the focus remained on everything that could go wrong. And some things did indeed go wrong – a regional banking crisis, ongoing war in Ukraine, an economic slowdown in China, a hawkish Federal Reserve, and a new war in the Middle East. But from a market perspective, investors looked past many of these headwinds and instead focused on the positive,” said Todd Morgan, partner and chairman at Bel Air Investment Advisors, in a statement.

While markets are rallying as economic conditions improve and rate cuts near, voters across the political spectrum aren’t sold.

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Everyday Americans are less positive than markets, a potential pitfall as the Biden camp has centered “Bidenomics” in his 2024 reelection campaign.

Just 33 percent of Americans approve of how Biden has handled the economy, a recent CNN poll found. Only 29 percent thought economic conditions were “very good” or “somewhat good.”

Although inflation has fallen dramatically, wages are up and unemployment is at its lowest level in decades, high interest rates have squeezed Americans burdened by record household debt and cut into savings that were once flush with pandemic-era stimulus payments and programs. 

Affordable housing also fell to record lows this year as mortgage rates spiked, although both are expected to ease next year, especially as interest rate cuts materialize.

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“For a Biden victory lap to be truly justified, these economic wins must reach boardrooms and kitchen tables alike. The disconnect between macroeconomic success and individual financial struggles remains the key challenge for the Biden Administration to solve in the months ahead,” Palomarez said.

Biden admonished reporters last Sunday over their coverage of the economy, saying, “All good. Take a look. Start reporting it the right way.”

But Palomarez warned it would be a mistake to brush off the discontent of American consumers.

“Whether or not credit is given to ‘Bidenomics’ or the inherent resilience of our economy could fuel a turnaround in President Biden’s performance metrics as we enter an election year. However, the disconnect with American consumers can’t be ignored,” Palomarez said.

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​Business, Bidenomics, CNN, Economy, federal reserve, President Biden, Wall Street The stock market closed to books on a winning year on Friday despite earlier recession fears. “2023 may go down in history as the year that defied all odds,” Kelly Milligan, co-founder of Quorum Private Wealth, told The Hill. “At the end of 2022, nearly every expert at the major banks predicted a recession and/or…  

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Google Accused Of Favoring White, Asian Staff As It Reaches $28 Million Deal That Excludes Black Workers

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Google has tentatively agreed to a $28 million settlement in a California class‑action lawsuit alleging that white and Asian employees were routinely paid more and placed on faster career tracks than colleagues from other racial and ethnic backgrounds.

How The Discrimination Claims Emerged

The lawsuit was brought by former Google employee Ana Cantu, who identifies as Mexican and racially Indigenous and worked in people operations and cloud departments for about seven years. Cantu alleges that despite strong performance, she remained stuck at the same level while white and Asian colleagues doing similar work received higher pay, higher “levels,” and more frequent promotions.

Cantu’s complaint claims that Latino, Indigenous, Native American, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and Alaska Native employees were systematically underpaid compared with white and Asian coworkers performing substantially similar roles. The suit also says employees who raised concerns about pay and leveling saw raises and promotions withheld, reinforcing what plaintiffs describe as a two‑tiered system inside the company.

Why Black Employees Were Left Out

Cantu’s legal team ultimately agreed to narrow the class to employees whose race and ethnicity were “most closely aligned” with hers, a condition that cleared the path to the current settlement.

The judge noted that Black employees were explicitly excluded from the settlement class after negotiations, meaning they will not share in the $28 million payout even though they were named in earlier versions of the case. Separate litigation on behalf of Black Google employees alleging racial bias in pay and promotions remains pending, leaving their claims to be resolved in a different forum.

What The Settlement Provides

Of the $28 million total, about $20.4 million is expected to be distributed to eligible class members after legal fees and penalties are deducted. Eligible workers include those in California who self‑identified as Hispanic, Latinx, Indigenous, Native American, American Indian, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and/or Alaska Native during the covered period.

Beyond cash payments, Google has also agreed to take steps aimed at addressing the alleged disparities, including reviewing pay and leveling practices for racial and ethnic gaps. The settlement still needs final court approval at a hearing scheduled for later this year, and affected employees will have a chance to opt out or object before any money is distributed.

H2: Google’s Response And The Broader Stakes

A Google spokesperson has said the company disputes the allegations but chose to settle in order to move forward, while reiterating its public commitment to fair pay, hiring, and advancement for all employees. The company has emphasized ongoing internal audits and equity initiatives, though plaintiffs argue those efforts did not prevent or correct the disparities outlined in the lawsuit.

For many observers, the exclusion of Black workers from the settlement highlights the legal and strategic complexities of class‑action discrimination cases, especially in large, diverse workplaces. The outcome of the remaining lawsuit brought on behalf of Black employees, alongside this $28 million deal, will help define how one of the world’s most powerful tech companies is held accountable for alleged racial inequities in pay and promotion.

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Luana Lopes Lara: How a 29‑Year‑Old Became the Youngest Self‑Made Woman Billionaire

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At just 29, Luana Lopes Lara has taken a title that usually belongs to pop stars and consumer‑app founders.

Multiple business outlets now recognize her as the world’s youngest self‑made woman billionaire, after her company Kalshi hit an 11 billion dollar valuation in a new funding round.

That round, a 1 billion dollar Series E led by Paradigm with Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, CapitalG and others participating, instantly pushed both co‑founders into the three‑comma club. Estimates place Luana’s personal stake at roughly 12 percent of Kalshi, valuing her net worth at about 1.3 billion dollars—wealth tied directly to equity she helped create rather than inheritance.

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Kalshi itself is a big part of why her ascent matters.

Founded in 2019, the New York–based company runs a federally regulated prediction‑market exchange where users trade yes‑or‑no contracts on real‑world events, from inflation reports to elections and sports outcomes.

As of late 2025, the platform has reached around 50 billion dollars in annualized trading volume, a thousand‑fold jump from roughly 300 million the year before, according to figures cited in TechCrunch and other financial press. That hyper‑growth convinced investors that event contracts are more than a niche curiosity, and it is this conviction—expressed in billions of dollars of new capital—that turned Luana’s share of Kalshi into a billion‑dollar fortune almost overnight.

Her path to that point is unusually demanding even by founder standards. Luana grew up in Brazil and trained at the Bolshoi Theater School’s Brazilian campus, where reports say she spent up to 13 hours a day in class and rehearsal, competing for places in a program that accepts fewer than 3 percent of applicants. After a stint dancing professionally in Austria, she pivoted into academics, enrolling at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology to study computer science and mathematics and later completing a master’s in engineering.

During summers she interned at major firms including Bridgewater Associates and Citadel, gaining a front‑row view of how global macro traders constantly bet on future events—but without a simple, regulated way for ordinary people to do the same.

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That realization shaped Kalshi’s founding thesis and ultimately her billionaire status. Together with co‑founder Tarek Mansour, whom she met at MIT, Luana spent years persuading lawyers and U.S. regulators that a fully legal event‑trading exchange could exist under commodities law. Reports say more than 60 law firms turned them down before one agreed to help, and the company then spent roughly three years in licensing discussions with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission before gaining approval. The payoff is visible in 2025’s numbers: an 11‑billion‑dollar valuation, a 1‑billion‑dollar fresh capital injection, and a founder’s stake that makes Luana Lopes Lara not just a compelling story but a data point in how fast wealth can now be created at the intersection of finance, regulation, and software.

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Harvard Grads Jobless? How AI & Ghost Jobs Broke Hiring

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America’s job market is facing an unprecedented crisis—and nowhere is this more painfully obvious than at Harvard, the world’s gold standard for elite education. A stunning 25% of Harvard’s MBA class of 2025 remains unemployed months after graduation, the highest rate recorded in university history. The Ivy League dream has become a harsh wakeup call, and it’s sending shockwaves across the professional landscape.

Jobless at the Top: Why Graduates Can’t Find Work

For decades, a Harvard diploma was considered a golden ticket. Now, graduates send out hundreds of résumés, often from their parents’ homes, only to get ghosted or auto-rejected by machines. Only 30% of all 2025 graduates nationally have found full-time work in their field, and nearly half feel unprepared for the workforce. Go to college, get a good job“—that promise is slipping away, even for the smartest and most driven.​

Tech’s Iron Grip: ATS and AI Gatekeepers

Applicant tracking systems (ATS) and AI algorithms have become ruthless gatekeepers. If a résumé doesn’t perfectly match the keywords or formatting demanded by the bots, it never reaches human eyes. The age of human connection is gone—now, you’re just a data point to be sorted and discarded.

AI screening has gone beyond basic qualifications. New tools “read” for inferred personality and tone, rejecting candidates for reasons they never see. Worse, up to half of online job listings may be fake—created simply to collect résumés, pad company metrics, or fulfill compliance without ever intending to fill the role.

The Experience Trap: Entry-Level Jobs Require Years

It’s not just Harvard grads who are hurting. Entry-level roles demand years of experience, unpaid internships, and portfolios that resemble a seasoned professional, not a fresh graduate. A bachelor’s degree, once the key to entry, is now just the price of admission. Overqualified candidates compete for underpaid jobs, often just to survive.

One Harvard MBA described applying to 1,000 jobs with no results. Companies, inundated by applications, are now so selective that only those who precisely “game the system” have a shot. This has fundamentally flipped the hiring pyramid: enormous demand for experience, shrinking chances for new entrants, and a brutal gauntlet for anyone not perfectly groomed by internships and coaching.

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Burnout Before Day One

The cost is more than financial—mental health and optimism are collapsing among the newest generation of workers. Many come out of elite programs and immediately end up in jobs that don’t require degrees, or take positions far below their qualifications just to pay the bills. There’s a sense of burnout before careers even begin, trapping talent in a cycle of exhaustion, frustration, and disillusionment.

Cultural Collapse: From Relationships to Algorithms

What’s really broken? The culture of hiring itself. Companies have traded trust, mentorship, and relationships for metrics, optimizations, and cost-cutting. Managers no longer hire on potential—they rely on machines, rankings, and personality tests that filter out individuality and reward those who play the algorithmic game best.

AI has automated the very entry-level work that used to build careers—research, drafting, and analysis—and erased the first rung of the professional ladder for thousands of new graduates. The result is a workforce filled with people who know how to pass tests, not necessarily solve problems or drive innovation.

The Ghost Job Phenomenon

Up to half of all listings for entry-level jobs may be “ghost jobs”—positions posted online for optics, compliance, or future needs, but never intended for real hiring. This means millions of job seekers spend hours on applications destined for digital purgatory, further fueling exhaustion and cynicism.

Not Lazy—Just Locked Out

Despite the headlines, the new class of unemployed graduates is not lazy or entitled—they are overqualified, underleveraged, and battered by a broken process. Harvard’s brand means less to AI and ATS systems than the right keyword or résumé format. Human judgment has been sidelined; individuality is filtered out.

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What’s Next? Back to Human Connection

Unless companies rediscover the value of human potential, mentorship, and relationships, the job search will remain a brutal numbers game—one that even the “best and brightest” struggle to win. The current system doesn’t just hurt workers—it holds companies back from hiring bold, creative talent who don’t fit perfect digital boxes.

Key Facts:

  • 25% of Harvard MBAs unemployed, highest on record
  • Only 30% of 2025 grads nationwide have jobs in their field
  • Nearly half of grads feel unprepared for real work
  • Up to 50% of entry-level listings are “ghost jobs”
  • AI and ATS have replaced human judgment at most companies

If you’ve felt this struggle—or see it happening around you—share your story in the comments. And make sure to subscribe for more deep dives on the reality of today’s economy and job market.

This is not just a Harvard problem. It’s a sign that America’s job engine is running on empty, and it’s time to reboot—before another generation is locked out.

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