Business
The Memo: Could a Trump holdover save the Biden presidency? on December 15, 2023 at 10:30 am Business News | The Hill
A key holdover from the Trump presidency could give President Biden a huge boost as he seeks reelection.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell looks to be on the cusp of pulling off a “soft landing” of the economy, after inflation roared to a four-decade high last year.
The Fed’s series of interest rate increases, which began in March 2022, have helped pull inflation down to just 3.1 percent from a high of 9.1 percent. But they have done so without throwing the economy into recession — at least so far.
Powell cautioned on Wednesday that it was “far too early to declare victory” in the battle against inflation. The annualized inflation rate is still higher than the Fed’s target of 2 percent.
But the Fed’s projections now assume three interest rate cuts in 2024. Powell himself told a news conference that the central bank was keenly aware of the risk that “we would hang on too long” without lowering rates.
Those comments came as the Fed held interest rates steady — a decision that helped propel the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its first ever close above 37,000.
Rate cuts next year would make homes more affordable, ease the purchase of other big-ticket items like cars, and make credit card debt less burdensome — all factors that could boost public sentiment on the economy and help the president.
So far, a strong jobs record for Biden has not been enough to overcome public pain about rising prices. An Economist/YouGov poll released Wednesday showed just 39 percent of Americans approve of Biden’s performance on the economy while 52 percent disapproved.
Democrats and Republicans fell along predictable lines on that question, but independent voters broke almost 2-to-1 against Biden on the economy, with 57 percent disapproving and just 30 percent approving.
Those numbers are a heavy millstone around the president’s chances of winning a second term.
But a soft landing could change everything.
Such a scenario “would be a very good thing for the president,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics. “Markets will be up, mortgage rates will be down, housing affordability will improve. So it is all good news.”
Zandi emphasized this outcome was not guaranteed but that if it happened, “it should help the president make the case that the economy is in a good spot.”
Other observers who are broadly sympathetic to Biden argue that Americans could finally be about to shift from their feelings of malaise about the economy and embrace a more optimistic attitude.
“A year ago economists thought there was a 100 percent chance of a recession and now the Fed is signaling we are going to have three rate cuts, possibly next year, and that’s on the back of a strong GDP report and strong employment numbers,” said Brendan Duke, the senior director for economic policy at the liberal Center for American Progress.
“When it comes to how Americans feel about the economy, these rate cuts have been sort of the missing piece,” Duke added. “They are going to unlock a rising stock market and lower mortgage rates.”
Conservative-leaning experts, however, see the situation quite differently.
EJ Antoni, public finance economist with the conservative Heritage Foundation, contended that Biden’s broad economic record was “poor” at best and that there was little chance that the Fed could pull off a genuine soft landing.
Instead, Antoni argued that rate cuts next year would likely be premature and risk a rerun of the grim economic conditions of the late 1970s and early 1980s when inflation was rampant and persistent.
“There is really no way for the Fed to engineer a soft landing,” Antoni said. “They’ve never done it before, and they are not going to do it this time either.”
Antoni’s argument, at its core, is that the prudent economic course would be to leave rates elevated for some time to come but that “it doesn’t seem like Powell and company have the political will to continue on the current track when we are going into an election year.”
The Fed is ostensibly independent but Antoni argued that the idea that it was immune from political pressures was unrealistic.
“We need to put to rest this idea that the Fed is politically independent when they have demonstrated again and again that is not the case,” he said.
Beyond any disputes about the Fed’s motivations, though, there are also some who question whether a “soft landing” would really save Biden.
David Winston, a veteran GOP pollster, argued that Biden’s team is fundamentally misreading how public perceptions of the economy are formed.
The inflation rate may have been cut down to one-third of its peak, he argued, but that doesn’t change the fact that prices are continuing to rise.
The central point, Winston contended, is “the way people are feeling as they walk into a grocery store and see prices are continuing to go up. The argument the president is using — ‘Yes, but more slowly’ isn’t all that persuasive.”
Winston noted that even rate cuts next year would leave those rates “lower than their peak but still higher than they have been until a few years ago.”
This, he added, was likely to lead the electorate restless and dissatisfied with the president.
More Biden-sympathic observers, like Duke, don’t see it that way.
The current optimism, he said, is a sign “that the COVID economy is over.”
If that perception takes root, it could yet propel Biden out of the polling doldrums and toward a second term.
And he’ll have Jerome Powell to thank.
The Memo is a reported column by Niall Stanage.
Business, Administration, Campaign, News A key holdover from the Trump presidency could give President Biden a huge boost as he seeks reelection. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell looks to be on the cusp of pulling off a “soft landing” of the economy, after inflation roared to a four-decade high last year. The Fed’s series of interest rate increases, which…
Business
Google Accused Of Favoring White, Asian Staff As It Reaches $28 Million Deal That Excludes Black Workers

Google has tentatively agreed to a $28 million settlement in a California class‑action lawsuit alleging that white and Asian employees were routinely paid more and placed on faster career tracks than colleagues from other racial and ethnic backgrounds.
- A Santa Clara County Superior Court judge has granted preliminary approval, calling the deal “fair” and noting that it could cover more than 6,600 current and former Google workers employed in the state between 2018 and 2024.

How The Discrimination Claims Emerged
The lawsuit was brought by former Google employee Ana Cantu, who identifies as Mexican and racially Indigenous and worked in people operations and cloud departments for about seven years. Cantu alleges that despite strong performance, she remained stuck at the same level while white and Asian colleagues doing similar work received higher pay, higher “levels,” and more frequent promotions.
Cantu’s complaint claims that Latino, Indigenous, Native American, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and Alaska Native employees were systematically underpaid compared with white and Asian coworkers performing substantially similar roles. The suit also says employees who raised concerns about pay and leveling saw raises and promotions withheld, reinforcing what plaintiffs describe as a two‑tiered system inside the company.
Why Black Employees Were Left Out
Cantu’s legal team ultimately agreed to narrow the class to employees whose race and ethnicity were “most closely aligned” with hers, a condition that cleared the path to the current settlement.

The judge noted that Black employees were explicitly excluded from the settlement class after negotiations, meaning they will not share in the $28 million payout even though they were named in earlier versions of the case. Separate litigation on behalf of Black Google employees alleging racial bias in pay and promotions remains pending, leaving their claims to be resolved in a different forum.
What The Settlement Provides
Of the $28 million total, about $20.4 million is expected to be distributed to eligible class members after legal fees and penalties are deducted. Eligible workers include those in California who self‑identified as Hispanic, Latinx, Indigenous, Native American, American Indian, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and/or Alaska Native during the covered period.
Beyond cash payments, Google has also agreed to take steps aimed at addressing the alleged disparities, including reviewing pay and leveling practices for racial and ethnic gaps. The settlement still needs final court approval at a hearing scheduled for later this year, and affected employees will have a chance to opt out or object before any money is distributed.
H2: Google’s Response And The Broader Stakes
A Google spokesperson has said the company disputes the allegations but chose to settle in order to move forward, while reiterating its public commitment to fair pay, hiring, and advancement for all employees. The company has emphasized ongoing internal audits and equity initiatives, though plaintiffs argue those efforts did not prevent or correct the disparities outlined in the lawsuit.
For many observers, the exclusion of Black workers from the settlement highlights the legal and strategic complexities of class‑action discrimination cases, especially in large, diverse workplaces. The outcome of the remaining lawsuit brought on behalf of Black employees, alongside this $28 million deal, will help define how one of the world’s most powerful tech companies is held accountable for alleged racial inequities in pay and promotion.
Business
Luana Lopes Lara: How a 29‑Year‑Old Became the Youngest Self‑Made Woman Billionaire

At just 29, Luana Lopes Lara has taken a title that usually belongs to pop stars and consumer‑app founders.
Multiple business outlets now recognize her as the world’s youngest self‑made woman billionaire, after her company Kalshi hit an 11 billion dollar valuation in a new funding round.
That round, a 1 billion dollar Series E led by Paradigm with Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, CapitalG and others participating, instantly pushed both co‑founders into the three‑comma club. Estimates place Luana’s personal stake at roughly 12 percent of Kalshi, valuing her net worth at about 1.3 billion dollars—wealth tied directly to equity she helped create rather than inheritance.

Kalshi itself is a big part of why her ascent matters.
Founded in 2019, the New York–based company runs a federally regulated prediction‑market exchange where users trade yes‑or‑no contracts on real‑world events, from inflation reports to elections and sports outcomes.
As of late 2025, the platform has reached around 50 billion dollars in annualized trading volume, a thousand‑fold jump from roughly 300 million the year before, according to figures cited in TechCrunch and other financial press. That hyper‑growth convinced investors that event contracts are more than a niche curiosity, and it is this conviction—expressed in billions of dollars of new capital—that turned Luana’s share of Kalshi into a billion‑dollar fortune almost overnight.
Her path to that point is unusually demanding even by founder standards. Luana grew up in Brazil and trained at the Bolshoi Theater School’s Brazilian campus, where reports say she spent up to 13 hours a day in class and rehearsal, competing for places in a program that accepts fewer than 3 percent of applicants. After a stint dancing professionally in Austria, she pivoted into academics, enrolling at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology to study computer science and mathematics and later completing a master’s in engineering.
During summers she interned at major firms including Bridgewater Associates and Citadel, gaining a front‑row view of how global macro traders constantly bet on future events—but without a simple, regulated way for ordinary people to do the same.

That realization shaped Kalshi’s founding thesis and ultimately her billionaire status. Together with co‑founder Tarek Mansour, whom she met at MIT, Luana spent years persuading lawyers and U.S. regulators that a fully legal event‑trading exchange could exist under commodities law. Reports say more than 60 law firms turned them down before one agreed to help, and the company then spent roughly three years in licensing discussions with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission before gaining approval. The payoff is visible in 2025’s numbers: an 11‑billion‑dollar valuation, a 1‑billion‑dollar fresh capital injection, and a founder’s stake that makes Luana Lopes Lara not just a compelling story but a data point in how fast wealth can now be created at the intersection of finance, regulation, and software.
Business
Harvard Grads Jobless? How AI & Ghost Jobs Broke Hiring

America’s job market is facing an unprecedented crisis—and nowhere is this more painfully obvious than at Harvard, the world’s gold standard for elite education. A stunning 25% of Harvard’s MBA class of 2025 remains unemployed months after graduation, the highest rate recorded in university history. The Ivy League dream has become a harsh wakeup call, and it’s sending shockwaves across the professional landscape.

Jobless at the Top: Why Graduates Can’t Find Work
For decades, a Harvard diploma was considered a golden ticket. Now, graduates send out hundreds of résumés, often from their parents’ homes, only to get ghosted or auto-rejected by machines. Only 30% of all 2025 graduates nationally have found full-time work in their field, and nearly half feel unprepared for the workforce. “Go to college, get a good job“—that promise is slipping away, even for the smartest and most driven.
Tech’s Iron Grip: ATS and AI Gatekeepers
Applicant tracking systems (ATS) and AI algorithms have become ruthless gatekeepers. If a résumé doesn’t perfectly match the keywords or formatting demanded by the bots, it never reaches human eyes. The age of human connection is gone—now, you’re just a data point to be sorted and discarded.
AI screening has gone beyond basic qualifications. New tools “read” for inferred personality and tone, rejecting candidates for reasons they never see. Worse, up to half of online job listings may be fake—created simply to collect résumés, pad company metrics, or fulfill compliance without ever intending to fill the role.
The Experience Trap: Entry-Level Jobs Require Years
It’s not just Harvard grads who are hurting. Entry-level roles demand years of experience, unpaid internships, and portfolios that resemble a seasoned professional, not a fresh graduate. A bachelor’s degree, once the key to entry, is now just the price of admission. Overqualified candidates compete for underpaid jobs, often just to survive.
One Harvard MBA described applying to 1,000 jobs with no results. Companies, inundated by applications, are now so selective that only those who precisely “game the system” have a shot. This has fundamentally flipped the hiring pyramid: enormous demand for experience, shrinking chances for new entrants, and a brutal gauntlet for anyone not perfectly groomed by internships and coaching.
Burnout Before Day One
The cost is more than financial—mental health and optimism are collapsing among the newest generation of workers. Many come out of elite programs and immediately end up in jobs that don’t require degrees, or take positions far below their qualifications just to pay the bills. There’s a sense of burnout before careers even begin, trapping talent in a cycle of exhaustion, frustration, and disillusionment.
Cultural Collapse: From Relationships to Algorithms
What’s really broken? The culture of hiring itself. Companies have traded trust, mentorship, and relationships for metrics, optimizations, and cost-cutting. Managers no longer hire on potential—they rely on machines, rankings, and personality tests that filter out individuality and reward those who play the algorithmic game best.
AI has automated the very entry-level work that used to build careers—research, drafting, and analysis—and erased the first rung of the professional ladder for thousands of new graduates. The result is a workforce filled with people who know how to pass tests, not necessarily solve problems or drive innovation.
The Ghost Job Phenomenon
Up to half of all listings for entry-level jobs may be “ghost jobs”—positions posted online for optics, compliance, or future needs, but never intended for real hiring. This means millions of job seekers spend hours on applications destined for digital purgatory, further fueling exhaustion and cynicism.
Not Lazy—Just Locked Out
Despite the headlines, the new class of unemployed graduates is not lazy or entitled—they are overqualified, underleveraged, and battered by a broken process. Harvard’s brand means less to AI and ATS systems than the right keyword or résumé format. Human judgment has been sidelined; individuality is filtered out.

What’s Next? Back to Human Connection
Unless companies rediscover the value of human potential, mentorship, and relationships, the job search will remain a brutal numbers game—one that even the “best and brightest” struggle to win. The current system doesn’t just hurt workers—it holds companies back from hiring bold, creative talent who don’t fit perfect digital boxes.
Key Facts:
- 25% of Harvard MBAs unemployed, highest on record
- Only 30% of 2025 grads nationwide have jobs in their field
- Nearly half of grads feel unprepared for real work
- Up to 50% of entry-level listings are “ghost jobs”
- AI and ATS have replaced human judgment at most companies
If you’ve felt this struggle—or see it happening around you—share your story in the comments. And make sure to subscribe for more deep dives on the reality of today’s economy and job market.
This is not just a Harvard problem. It’s a sign that America’s job engine is running on empty, and it’s time to reboot—before another generation is locked out.
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