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Russia’s winter onslaught tests Ukraine’s firepower  on January 4, 2024 at 11:00 am

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Russia is resuming its winter strategy of pounding Ukraine into submission with missiles and drones — but Kyiv finds itself in a far more tenuous position this year as resources run low and more Western assistance is up in the air. 

Russia fired some 500 missiles and drones from Dec. 29 to Jan. 2, according to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. While Ukraine is still managing to thwart the majority of the missiles and drones, Russia is slowly breaking through more of the strained air defense systems.

And Ukraine may only have another two months of air defense firepower without additional Western assistance, Ukrainian officials warn. 

Matt Duss, executive vice president at the Center for International Policy, said Ukraine will eventually have to “start rationing what supplies they do have” left, endangering the protection of some cities. 

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“That will force them to make some pretty tough choices with regard to their defenses,” he said. “This has been the Russian strategy all along, to try and wear Ukraine down and to wear down the Western commitment to assisting Ukraine.” 

Though Ukraine is facing enormous challenges this winter, Zelensky said Wednesday his nation is unbowed. 

“We will surely defeat it,” he said at a ceremony. “Despite all Russia’s missile attacks, despite any intentions of the enemy, we will definitely defend our country.” 

With valuable air defense systems, including Patriot systems from the U.S., Ukraine has fended off the brunt of Russian attacks, including hypersonic Kinzhal missiles. 

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But Russia’s efforts to exhaust a dwindling Ukrainian inventory with mass strikes are also bolstered by a major boost of missile production at home. 

The Dec. 29 bombardment was the single largest Russian aerial attack on Ukraine since the war started, according to Ukrainian officials, with at least 30 killed and hundreds injured from Kyiv to the southern city of Odesa. 

Ukraine took down 114 of the 158 missiles and drones Russia launched that day. 

During a Tuesday strike, Ukraine intercepted 72 out of 99 targets. Five people were killed and dozens wounded in Kyiv and the northeastern city of Kharkiv. 

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Baltic nations near Ukraine immediately raised the need for more air defenses following the latest attacks.

“Ukrainian air defense works well but Ukraine must get more help,” Latvian President Edgars Rinkēvičs wrote on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter. “New Year’s celebrations are over and the West must get serious and act now.” 

Ukrainian officials spoke with the U.S. and the U.K. this week on strengthening air defenses, and Kyiv has called for an emergency meeting with the Western security alliance NATO on the issue. 

NATO is heavily reliant on U.S. support to meet defense needs, including for Ukraine assistance. But the alliance said Wednesday it would help allies scale up production to procure 1,000 Patriot missiles, which could free up inventory for Kyiv. 

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Russian President Vladimir Putin began a mass bombing campaign against Ukraine heading into last year’s winter as well, targeting energy infrastructure in an ultimately failed bid to cow the Ukrainian people into submission.  

This year’s assault has a wider focus, more directly targeting military infrastructure to cripple Ukraine, the U.K. Ministry of Defense said in an intelligence update. Russia committed a significant proportion of its missile stocks to attacking Ukraine from Dec. 29 to Jan. 2, U.K. analysts added. 

Despite initial challenges with Western sanctions, Russia has learned to evade them, boosting its wartime economy and increasing missile production. It is now producing up to 100 long-range missiles a month. 

And Moscow may be getting smarter with targeting Ukraine in its aerial attacks.  

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The Institute for the Study of War assessed a “notable recent increase” in Russia’s Shahed drones penetrating Ukrainian air defenses on the night of Dec. 29 and on Dec. 31, which could be due to more strategic firing or covert operations.

Matthew Schmidt, associate professor of national security and political science at the University of New Haven, said Russia is spending “millions of dollars to create one Ukrainian casualty” but warned that was part of a strategy to swarm Ukraine. 

“That’s why Russia engaged in the kind of attack that they did, trying to overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses and suck up those missiles,” and to “force Ukraine to fire the ammunition that they have and deplete them,” Schmidt said. 

Across the front line, fighting has slowed down, and neither side is making any crucial advances, with no major developments expected in the coming weeks. Russia is assaulting the town of Avdiivka in the eastern Donetsk region, but Moscow is taking heavy losses for incremental gains. 

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By decreasing the power of Ukraine’s air defenses, however, Putin will be positioned for a stronger offensive, according to the Royal United Services Institute

Brock Bierman, a visiting senior fellow at the German Marshall Fund, also said Putin will seize on the delay of further Western assistance to Ukraine.

“I would not be surprised if Putin took any tactical advantage over the next several months because of what’s going on,“ he said. “The longer the assistance takes to pass through Congress, the more it feeds into his calculation.” 

Already, Ukraine’s air defense munitions and artillery shells are running low. Ukraine is starting up its own production of the critical defense munitions, but that could take years to fully come online. 

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In the U.S., Congress remains ensnared in talks on the U.S.-Mexico border, which will be tied to any future Ukraine aid package. The European Union, too, has not moved on a more than $50 billion package after Hungary blocked it. 

Pentagon press secretary Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder said at a briefing before the holiday break that Congress must act to support Ukraine. 

“Look at the situation that Ukraine finds itself in,” he said. “We will obviously continue to support them. But it is imperative that we have the funds needed to ensure that they get the most urgent battlefield capabilities that they require.” 

Peter Dickinson, editor of the Atlantic Council’s UkraineAlert blog, warned of a “very real danger that Ukraine could exhaust its existing stocks of air defense ammunition in the coming weeks.” 

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“The consequences of a collapse in Ukraine’s air defenses would be catastrophic,” Dickinson wrote in an analysis, predicting thousands of Ukrainian casualties from a single wave of Russian attacks in the event of a collapse.

“As long as Western leaders insist on restricting Ukraine’s ability to strike back at Russia,” he added, “Ukrainian commanders will be forced to fight the air war with a shield but no sword.” 

In a New Year’s interview with The Economist, Zelensky said Western partners should stand behind Ukraine or remove themselves from the conflict. 

“If you don’t have the strength, then either get out or step aside,” he added. “We will not retreat.” 

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​ Russia is resuming its winter strategy of pounding Ukraine into submission with missiles and drones — but Kyiv finds itself in a far more tenuous position this year as resources run low and more Western assistance is up in the air. Russia fired some 500 missiles and drones from Dec. 29 to Jan. 2, according… 

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Netanyahu’s UN Speech Triggers Diplomatic Walkouts and Mass Protests

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What Happened at the United Nations

On Friday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed the United Nations General Assembly in New York City, defending Israel’s ongoing military operations in Gaza. As he spoke, more than 100 delegates from over 50 countries stood up and left the chamber—a rare and significant diplomatic walkout. Outside the UN, thousands of protesters gathered to voice opposition to Netanyahu’s policies and call for accountability, including some who labeled him a war criminal. The protest included activists from Palestinian and Jewish groups, along with international allies.

Why Did Delegates and Protesters Walk Out?

The walkouts and protests were a response to Israel’s continued offensive in Gaza, which has resulted in widespread destruction and a significant humanitarian crisis. Many countries and individuals have accused Israel of excessive use of force, and some international prosecutors have suggested Netanyahu should face investigation by the International Criminal Court for war crimes, including claims that starvation was used as a weapon against civilians. At the same time, a record number of nations—over 150—recently recognized the State of Palestine, leaving the United States as the only permanent UN Security Council member not to join them.

International Reaction and Significance

The diplomatic walkouts and street protests demonstrate increasing global concern over the situation in Gaza and growing support for Palestinian statehood. Several world leaders, including Colombia’s President Gustavo Petro, showed visible solidarity with protesters. Petro called for international intervention and, controversially, for US troops not to follow orders he viewed as supporting ongoing conflict. The US later revoked Petro’s visa over his role in the protests, which he argued was evidence of a declining respect for international law.

BILATERAL MEETING WITH THE PRIME MINISTER OF ISRAEL Photo credit: Matty STERN/U.S. Embassy Jerusalem

Why Is This News Important?

The Gaza conflict is one of the world’s most contentious and closely-watched issues. It has drawn strong feelings and differing opinions from governments, activists, and ordinary people worldwide. The United Nations, as an international organization focused on peace and human rights, is a key arena for these debates. The events surrounding Netanyahu’s speech show that many nations and voices are urging new action—from recognition of Palestinian rights to calls for sanctions against Israel—while discussion and disagreement over the best path forward continue.

This episode at the UN highlights how international diplomacy, public protests, and official policy are all intersecting in real time as the search for solutions to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict remains urgent and unresolved.

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Is a Nuclear-Powered Alien Spacecraft Flying Toward Earth?

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A mysterious interstellar object speeding through our solar system has reignited debates about extraterrestrial technology — and whether Earth might currently be under quiet observation.

The object, known as 3I/ATLAS, is only the third confirmed interstellar visitor ever detected. Unlike ordinary comets, however, this cosmic traveler has baffled astronomers with its unusual brightness, strange trajectory, and lack of a visible cometary tail. While most scientists cautiously describe it as a natural body, one leading astrophysicist believes something much stranger is at play.

Harvard Scientist’s Bold Claim

Professor Avi Loeb of Harvard University, head of the Galileo Project, has suggested that 3I/ATLAS may in fact be a nuclear-powered alien spacecraft designed to test how humanity would respond to an interstellar visitor. He argues that its flight path is improbably precise, bringing it close to Mars, Venus, and Earth — a pattern highly unlikely to occur by chance.

Loeb also points out that telescope images show a glow inconsistent with ordinary dust behavior. Instead of trailing behind like a comet, the halo-like light appears to extend in unusual ways, sparking debate about whether the object could be emitting energy of its own.

Headed Toward Earth’s Neighborhood

3I/ATLAS is expected to make its closest approach in late 2025, passing near Mars before swinging by the inner solar system. Although Earth itself will be on the opposite side of the Sun when it comes closest, the alignment will still enable space-based observatories to capture sharper data.

Loeb has called on NASA and other agencies to use spacecraft already stationed near Mars or Jupiter — including the Juno mission — to take high-resolution photographs. He believes such efforts could reveal whether the interstellar object is truly natural, or the first technological probe humanity has ever encountered.

Should We Be Worried?

While most astronomers argue caution before jumping to alien conclusions, Loeb insists that scientific openness is key. “If it’s just a comet, we learn something new,” he said. “But if it’s a spacecraft, it would be the most important discovery in human history.”

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For now, 3I/ATLAS remains a mysterious speck on astronomers’ charts, drifting closer with each passing day. Whether it proves to be a frozen remnant of another star system or something far more advanced, the interstellar visitor has already succeeded in one mission: reminding us how vast and unpredictable the universe really is.

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AI Automation Could Cause Up to 20% Unemployment—A Workforce on the Brink

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Stark Warning from Anthropic CEO Highlights Rapid Job Displacement Risk

The looming threat of widespread unemployment due to AI automation has sparked intense debate among experts, business leaders, and policymakers. Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic—the company behind the influential AI language model Claude—issued a stark warning that has sent shockwaves through corporate America:

“Up to half of all entry-level white collar jobs could disappear within the next one to five years, potentially pushing unemployment rates as high as 20% during this period.”

This dramatic forecast paints a picture of a rapid and unsettling transformation in the workforce, driven by AI technologies that can perform complex cognitive tasks.

Balancing Predictions: Worst-Case Scenarios vs. Moderate Impact

However, this forecast represents one end of a spectrum of expert predictions. While Amodei’s warning highlights the worst-case scenario driven by the swift adoption of AI agents capable of coding, analyzing data, drafting legal documents, and managing workflows around the clock, other analyses suggest a more moderate impact. For example, Goldman Sachs estimates that AI could temporarily displace about 6-7% of U.S. jobs, with unemployment rising by approximately half a percentage point during the adjustment period. Their research anticipates a more gradual transition with a mixture of job disruption and creation.

The Unprecedented Speed and Scope of AI-Driven Job Disruption

The truth likely lies somewhere in between. AI is advancing at unprecedented speed, and the scope of jobs affected spans far beyond blue-collar roles to white-collar positions that required college degrees and years of training. Entry-level roles such as customer service representatives, data entry clerks, junior analysts, and administrative assistants face the greatest near-term risk. Mid-level roles in accounting, marketing, law, and engineering could soon follow, with companies already laying off workers citing AI-driven efficiencies.

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Preparing for an AI-Transformed Workforce: Adaptation Is Essential

Ultimately, the AI-driven job transformation is no longer a distant prospect but unfolding now. Whether unemployment spikes to 20% or stabilizes at lower levels depends on many factors, including business adoption rates, government policies, and the ability of workers to reskill. What is certain is that the workforce of tomorrow will look very different from today—and the time to prepare is right now.

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